The main event of UFC 309 brings together two of the most decorated champions in UFC history—Jon “Bones” Jones and Stipe Miocic. Both fighters have dominated their respective divisions, but this heavyweight clash could be the defining moment of their careers.
Jon Jones’ Path to Victory
Jon Jones enters UFC 309 as the reigning heavyweight champion after a dominant submission win over Ciryl Gane at UFC 285. Known for his versatility and fight IQ, Jones has a deep arsenal of techniques that make him a formidable opponent in any weight class.
His oblique kicks, spinning elbows, and wrestling prowess have allowed him to dismantle some of the best fighters in the world.
Jones’ ability to control distance and dictate the pace will be crucial in this fight. His striking accuracy (57%) and wrestling (1.93 takedowns per 15 minutes) give him multiple paths to victory.
Given Miocic’s age (42) and long layoff from competition, many experts predict that Jones will look to exploit Miocic’s timing and footwork early on.
Stipe Miotic’s Strategy
Stipe Miocic, the most successful heavyweight champion in UFC history with four title defences, is looking to reclaim his belt after a long hiatus. Despite being an underdog (+450), Miocic’s experience in the heavyweight division could play a pivotal role.
He is known for his knockout power (15 KO victories) and well-rounded skill set that includes solid boxing and wrestling.
Miocic has been vocal about how different it is to fight at heavyweight compared to light heavyweight—a potential advantage over Jones, who has only fought once at heavyweight.
If Miocic can keep the fight standing and utilize his superior striking output (4.82 significant strikes per minute), he may be able to land a knockout punch that could change the course of the fight.
Fight Predictions: Who Will Win?
Most experts are leaning towards Jon Jones (-625) as the favorite due to his youth (37), recent activity, and diverse skill set. However, Miocic’s knockout power and experience make him a dangerous opponent who should not be underestimated.
Prediction: Jon Jones via TKO in Round 2
Co-Main Event: Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler
In the co-main event, former lightweight champion Charles Oliveira takes on Michael Chandler in a rematch that could determine the next title contender. Oliveira (-265) won their first encounter via submission but faces a rejuvenated Chandler (+215), who has been eager for another shot at gold.
Prediction: Charles Oliveira via Submission in Round 3
Full UFC 309 Fight Card & Odds
- Jon Jones (-625) vs. Stipe Miocic (+450) – Heavyweight Title
- Charles Oliveira (-265) vs. Michael Chandler (+215) – Lightweight Bout
- Bo Nickal (-1200) vs. Paul Craig (+750) – Middleweight Bout
- Karine Silva (-280) vs. Viviane Araujo (+230) – Women’s Flyweight Bout
- Mauricio Ruffy (-900) vs. James Llontop (+625) – Catchweight Bout (165 lbs)
Prelims Highlights
The preliminary card features several exciting matchups:
- Marcus McGhee (-130) vs. Jonathan Martinez (+110) – Bantamweight Bout
- Eryk Anders (-115) vs. Chris Weidman (-105) – Middleweight Bout
- Jim Miller (+140) vs. Damon Jackson (-165) – Lightweight Bout